Article
Foundations of Ecological and Evolutionary Change
Duthie AB & Luque VJ (2025) Foundations of Ecological and Evolutionary Change. Ecology and Evolution, 15 (11), Art. No.: e72454. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.72454
Senior Lecturer
Biological and Environmental Sciences University of Stirling, Stirling, FK9 4LA
I am an evolutionary ecologist, ecological modeller, and biostatistician with broad interests in developing theory across the biological and environmental sciences. My research primarily uses mathematical and individual-based models to understand complex interactions in populations, communities, and social-ecological systems. I am especially interested in applying these modelling approaches to questions concerning the evolution and maintenance of biodiversity, and the management of populations under conservation conflict (Mastodon: @bradduthie@ecoevo.social).
Brief Biography
My research focuses on evolutionary, ecological, and social-ecological questions by developing theory using mathematical and computational (i.e., individual-based) modelling. Specific areas of interest include ecological community stability and coexistence, animal inbreeding and parental investment behaviour, and the dynamics of social-ecological systems under conflict. Current projects in which I am involved as a principle investigator, co-investigator, or associate member include the following:
Eco-evolutionary theory: One area of my research focuses on addressing fundamental questions in ecological or evolutionary theory. I am currently a Principal Investigator for the Unification of Modern Coexistence Theory and Price Equation (UNICOP) project, which is funded by the French Foundation for Research on Biodiversity (FRB) and the German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv). The UNICOP project focuses on unifying theory concerning how shared processes shape the evolution and coexistence of biodiverse communities, and attempts to bridge gaps that currently exist among parallel theoretical frameworks.
Social-ecological modelling: Another area of my research focuses on individual-based models of social-ecological systems. As part of the Enhancing Diversity to Overcome Resistance Evolution (ENDORSE) project, I developed the resevol R package to model the evolution of pesticide resistance in agricultural landscapes. The resevol package can model rich spatially explicit landscapes, covarying pest traits and full genomes, and different rotation regimes for crop and pesticide application. As part of the ConFooBio project, I led the development of the Generalised Management Strategy Evaluation (GMSE) social-ecological modelling R software package. GMSE integrates game theory and ecological theory to construct social-ecological models that simulate the management of populations and stakeholder actions.
Ecological Knowledge Games: A third area of my research focuses on the integration of games with social-ecological models. I lead the EcoKnowGames project, an inter-disciplinary research programme leveraging the technology of video games to evaluate sustainable development solutions and share diverse views on human development. A key goal of EcoKnowGames is to develop world-building games that are underpinned by realistic ecological models, from which player decision-making data can be collected and applied to hypothesis testing and model parameterisation. As part of the Restoring Ecosystems to Stop the Threat Of (Re-)Emerging Infectious Diseases (RestoreID) project, I helped develop the game Restore to better understand decision-making during ecosystem restoration.
I currently serve as an associate editor at the Journal of Animal Ecology. I am a member of the British Ecological Society and the Association for the Study of Animal Behaviour.
Advance HE and Library Representative
BES Tuesday Seminar Organiser
Stirling Coding Club Organiser
https://stirlingcodingclub.github.io/studyGroup/
Stirling Coding Club is a fun, informal way to learn or improve your coding skills. Our goal is to create a friendly, no-pressure environment where people can share their work, ask for help on coding problems, and learn and work together. You do not need to have any experience in coding to join or attend these workshops, and we welcome students and staff across the university at all levels of experience.
Associate Editor
Journal of Animal Ecology
Member
British Ecological Society, Association for the Study of Animal Behaviour
Fellow of the Higher Education Academy
Higher Education Academy
Programme Director: Animal Biology
Programme Director: Biology
Programme Director: Biology and Mathematics
Restoring Ecosystems to Stop the Threat Of (Re-)Emerging Infectious Diseases
PI: Dr Brad Duthie
Funded by: Innovate UK
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Ecological Knowledge Games
PI: Dr Brad Duthie
Funded by: UK Research and Innovation
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The evolution of female mating systems: tracing the origins and tracking the consequences
PI: Dr Rebecca Boulton
Funded by: Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council
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Enhancing Diversity to Overcome Resistance Evolution
PI: Professor Matthew Tinsley
Funded by: Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council
–
Biodiversity and ecosystem function in ephemeral patches: a trait-based approach
PI: Dr Brad Duthie
Funded by: The Leverhulme Trust
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Article
Foundations of Ecological and Evolutionary Change
Duthie AB & Luque VJ (2025) Foundations of Ecological and Evolutionary Change. Ecology and Evolution, 15 (11), Art. No.: e72454. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.72454
Article
The impact of the cost-of-living crisis on water poverty in Scotland: A lived-experience analysis
Anderson HK, Duthie AB, McDougall CW, Quilliam RS & Price H (2025) The impact of the cost-of-living crisis on water poverty in Scotland: A lived-experience analysis. Utilities Policy, 96, Art. No.: 101983. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jup.2025.101983
Article
Tomsin I, Duthie AB, Bunnefeld N, Leirs H, Casaer J & Beenaerts N (2025) Evaluating Management Scenarios for the European Hamster (Cricetus cricetus) Using Quantitative Models. Ecology and Evolution, 15 (10), Art. No.: e72353. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.72353
Magazine Article
Tomsin I, Duthie A, Bunnefeld N, Leirs H, Casaer J & Beenaerts N (2025) Virtuele hamsters: Wat simulaties ons vertellen over de toekomst van de Europese hamster in Vlaanderen. NatuurFocus. 01.09.2025, pp. 112-120. https://www.natuurpunt.be/dit-is-natuurpunt/natuurstudie/natuurfocus
Article
Fleming M, Bell A, Harison HR, Herrera J, Duthie AB, Kramer R & Rakotonarivo OS (2025) Impact of price shocks and payments on crop diversification and forest use among Malagasy vanilla farmers. Biological Conservation, 302, Art. No.: 110915. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2024.110915
Working Paper
The effect of host population genetic diversity on variation in metrics of parasite success
Paplauskas S, Duthie B & Tinsley M (2024) The effect of host population genetic diversity on variation in metrics of parasite success. BioRxiv. https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.05.28.596150
Article
Bradfer-Lawrence T, Duthie B, Abrahams C, Adam M, Barnett RJ, Beeston A, Darby J, Dell B, Gardner N, Gasc A, Heath B, Howells N, Kyoseva M, Waddell E & Froidevaux JS (2024) The Acoustic Index User’s Guide: A practical manual for defining, generating and understanding current and future acoustic indices. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14357
Article
Duthie AB, Mangan R, McKeon CR, Tinsley MC & Bussière LF (2023) resevol: An R package for spatially explicit models of pesticide resistance given evolving pest genomes. Noble R (Editor) PLOS Computational Biology, 19 (12), Art. No.: e1011691. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011691
Article
Financial incentives often fail to reconcile agricultural productivity and pro-conservation behavior
Bell AR, Rakotonarivo OS, Bhargava A, Duthie AB, Zhang W, Sargent R, Lewis AR & Kipchumba A (2023) Financial incentives often fail to reconcile agricultural productivity and pro-conservation behavior. Communications Earth & Environment, 4 (1), Art. No.: 27. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00689-6
Article
Fell A, Silva T, Duthie A & Dent D (2023) A global systematic review of frugivorous animal tracking studies and the estimation of seed dispersal distances. Ecology and Evolution, 13 (11), Art. No.: e10638. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.10638
Article
abmAnimalMovement: An R package for simulating animal movement using an agent-based model
Marshall BM & Duthie AB (2022) abmAnimalMovement: An R package for simulating animal movement using an agent-based model. F1000Research, 11, Art. No.: 1182. https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.124810.1
Article
Bach A, Minderman J, Bunnefeld N, Mill A & Duthie A (2022) Intervene or wait? A model evaluating the timing of intervention in conservation conflicts adaptive management under uncertainty. Ecology and Society, 27 (3), Art. No.: 3. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-13341-270303
Article
Jones IL, Timoshenko A, Zuban I, Zhadan K, Cusack JJ, Duthie AB, Hodgson ID, Minderman J, Pozo RA, Whytock RC & Bunnefeld N (2022) Achieving international biodiversity targets: learning from local norms, values and actions regarding migratory waterfowl management in Kazakhstan. Journal of Applied Ecology, 59 (7), pp. 1911-1924. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.14198
Article
The traits of "trait ecologists": an analysis of the use of trait and functional trait terminology
Dawson SK, Carmona CP, González-Suárez M, Jönsson M, Chichorro F, Mallen-Cooper M, Melero Y, Moor H, Simaika JP & Duthie AB (2021) The traits of "trait ecologists": an analysis of the use of trait and functional trait terminology. Ecology and Evolution, 11 (23), pp. 16434-16445. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.8321
Article
Experimental Evidence on the Impact of Payments and Property Rights on Forest User Decisions
Rakotonarivo OS, Bell A, Dillon B, Duthie AB, Kipchumba A, Andriarilala Rasolofoson R, Razafimanahaka J & Bunnefeld N (2021) Experimental Evidence on the Impact of Payments and Property Rights on Forest User Decisions. Frontiers in Conservation Science, 2, Art. No.: 661987. https://doi.org/10.3389/fcosc.2021.661987
Article
The role of incentive-based instruments and social equity in conservation conflict interventions
Rakotonarivo SO, Bell AR, Abernethy K, Minderman J, Duthie AB, Redpath S, Keane A, Travers H, Bourgeois S, Moukagni L, Cusack JJ, Jones IL, Pozo RA & Bunnefeld N (2021) The role of incentive-based instruments and social equity in conservation conflict interventions. Ecology and Society, 26 (2), Art. No.: 8. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-12306-260208
Article
Duthie AB, Minderman J, Rakotonarivo OS, Ochoa G & Bunnefeld N (2021) Online multiplayer games as virtual laboratories for collecting data on social-ecological decision making. Conservation Biology, 35 (3), pp. 1051-1053. https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13633
Article
Rakotonarivo OS, Jones II, Bell AR, Duthie AB, Cusack JJ, Minderman J, Hogan J, Hodgson I & Bunnefeld N (2021) Experimental evidence for conservation conflict interventions: the importance of financial payments, community trust and equity attitudes. People and Nature, 3 (1), pp. 162-175. https://doi.org/10.1002/pan3.10155
Article
A multispecies assessment of wildlife impacts on local community livelihoods
Pozo RA, LeFlore EG, Duthie AB, Bunnefeld N, Jones IL, Minderman J, Rakotonarivo S & Cusack JJ (2021) A multispecies assessment of wildlife impacts on local community livelihoods. Conservation Biology, 35 (1), pp. 297-306. https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13565
Article
Effects of stakeholder empowerment on crane population and agricultural production
Nilsson L, Bunnefeld N, Minderman J & Duthie AB (2021) Effects of stakeholder empowerment on crane population and agricultural production. Ecological Modelling, 440, Art. No.: 109396. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2020.109396
Research Report
Bunnefeld N, Pozo RA, Cusack JJ, Duthie AB & Minderman J (2020) Development of a population model tool to predict shooting levels of Greenland barnacle geese on Islay. NatureScot. Scottish Natural Heritage Research Report, 1039. Inverness. https://www.nature.scot/naturescot-research-report-1039-development-population-model-tool-predict-shooting-levels-greenland
Article
Component response rate variation underlies the stability of highly complex finite systems
Duthie AB (2020) Component response rate variation underlies the stability of highly complex finite systems. Scientific Reports, 10, Art. No.: 8296. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-64401-w
Article
Integrating conflict, lobbying, and compliance to predict the sustainability of natural resource use
Cusack JJ, Duthie AB, Minderman J, Jones IL, Pozo RA, Rakotonarivo OS, Redpath S & Bunnefeld N (2020) Integrating conflict, lobbying, and compliance to predict the sustainability of natural resource use. Ecology and Society, 25 (2), Art. No.: 13. https://doi.org/10.5751/es-11552-250213
Letter
Decision Trees for Data Publishing May Exacerbate Conservation Conflict
Minderman J, Cusack JJ, Duthie AB, Jones IL, Pozo RA, Rakotonarivo OS & Bunnefeld N (2019) Decision Trees for Data Publishing May Exacerbate Conservation Conflict. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 3, p. 318. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-019-0804-7
Article
Cusack J, Duthie AB, Rakotonarivo OS, Pozo R, Mason T, Månsson J, Nilsson L, Tombre I, Eythórsson E, Madsen J, Tulloch AIT, Hearn R, Redpath S & Bunnefeld N (2019) Time series analysis reveals synchrony and asynchrony between conflict management effort and increasing large grazing bird populations in northern Europe. Conservation Letters, 12 (1), Art. No.: e12450. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12450
Article
GMSE: an R package for generalised management strategy evaluation
Duthie AB, Cusack JJ, Jones IL, Minderman J, Nilsen EB, Pozo RA, Rakotonarivo OS, Van Moorter B & Bunnefeld N (2018) GMSE: an R package for generalised management strategy evaluation. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 9 (12), pp. 2396-2401. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210x.13091
Article
Towards the general mechanistic prediction of community dynamics
Paine CET, Deasey A & Duthie AB (2018) Towards the general mechanistic prediction of community dynamics. Functional Ecology, 32 (7), pp. 1681-1692. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.13096
Article
Games as Tools to Address Conservation Conflicts
Redpath S, Keane A, Andren H, Baynham-Herd Z, Bunnefeld N, Duthie AB, Frank J, Garcia CA, Mansson J, Nilsson L, Pollard CRJ, Rakotonarivo OS, Salk CF & Travers H (2018) Games as Tools to Address Conservation Conflicts. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 33 (6), pp. 415-426. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2018.03.005
Article
Duthie AB, Bocedi G, Germain RR & Reid JM (2018) Evolution of precopulatory and post-copulatory strategies of inbreeding avoidance and associated polyandry. Journal of Evolutionary Biology, 31 (1), pp. 31-45. https://doi.org/10.1111/jeb.13189
Article
Duthie AB & Reid JM (2016) Evolution of inbreeding avoidance and inbreeding preference through mate choice among interacting relatives. American Naturalist, 188 (6), pp. 651-667. https://doi.org/10.1086/688919
Article
Power scaling, vascular branching patterns, and the golden ratio
Frater P & Duthie AB (2016) Power scaling, vascular branching patterns, and the golden ratio. Ideas in Ecology and Evolution, 9 (1), pp. 15-18. https://doi.org/10.4033/iee.2016.9.4.n
Article
Inbreeding parents should invest more resources in fewer offspring
Duthie AB, Lee AM & Reid JM (2016) Inbreeding parents should invest more resources in fewer offspring. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 283 (1843), Art. No.: 20161845. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2016.1845
Article
Duthie AB & Nason J (2016) Plant connectivity underlies plant-pollinator-exploiter distributions in Ficus petiolaris and associated pollinating and non-pollinating fig wasps. Oikos, 125 (11), pp. 1597-1606. https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.02905
Article
Duthie AB, Bocedi G & Reid JM (2016) When does female multiple mating evolve to adjust inbreeding? Effects of inbreeding depression, direct costs, mating constraints, and polyandry as a threshold trait. Evolution, 70 (9), pp. 1927-1943. https://doi.org/10.1111/evo.13005
Article
Reid JM, Bocedi G, Nietlisbach P, Duthie AB, Wolak M, Gow E & Arcese P (2016) Variation in parent‐offspring kinship in socially monogamous systems with extra‐pair reproduction and inbreeding. Evolution, 70 (7), pp. 1512-1529. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/evo.12953/abstract; https://doi.org/10.1111/evo.12953
Article
Do music and art influence one another? Measuring cross-modal similarities in music and art
Duthie AC & Duthie AB (2015) Do music and art influence one another? Measuring cross-modal similarities in music and art. Polymath, 5 (1), pp. 1-22. https://ojcs.siue.edu/ojs/index.php/polymath/article/view/3013
Article
Reid JM, Arcese P, Bocedi G, Duthie AB, Wolak M & Keller LF (2015) Resolving the conundrum of inbreeding depression but no inbreeding avoidance: estimating sex-specific selection on inbreeding by song sparrows (Melospiza melodia). Evolution, 69 (11), pp. 2846-2861. https://doi.org/10.1111/evo.12780
Article
Demographic mechanisms of inbreeding adjustment through extra-pair reproduction
Reid JM, Duthie AB, Wolak M & Arcese P (2015) Demographic mechanisms of inbreeding adjustment through extra-pair reproduction. Journal of Animal Ecology, 84 (4), pp. 1029-1040. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12340
Article
Duthie AB, Abbott K & Nason J (2015) Trade-offs and coexistence in fluctuating environments: evidence for a key dispersal-fecundity trade-off in five nonpollinating fig wasps. American Naturalist, 186 (1), pp. 151-158. www.jstor.org/stable/10.1086/681621; https://doi.org/10.1086/681621
Article
Duthie AB & Reid JM (2015) What happens after inbreeding avoidance? Inbreeding by rejected relatives and the inclusive fitness benefit of inbreeding avoidance. PLoS ONE, 10 (4), Art. No.: e0125140. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0125140
Article
Quantifying inbreeding avoidance through extra-pair reproduction
Reid JM, Arcese P, Keller LF, Germain R, Duthie AB, Losdat S, Wolak M & Nietlisbach P (2015) Quantifying inbreeding avoidance through extra-pair reproduction. Evolution, 69 (1), pp. 59-74. https://doi.org/10.1111/evo.12557
Article
Trade-offs and coexistence: A lottery model applied to fig wasp communities
Duthie AB, Abbott K & Nason J (2014) Trade-offs and coexistence: A lottery model applied to fig wasp communities. American Naturalist, 183 (6), pp. 826-841. https://doi.org/10.1086/675897
Thesis
Species interactions in ephemeral patch systems: spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal influences
Duthie AB (2013) Species interactions in ephemeral patch systems: spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal influences. Doctor of Philosophy. Iowa State University.
Article
The influence of habitat autocorrelation on plants and their seed-eating pollinators
Duthie AB & Falcy M (2013) The influence of habitat autocorrelation on plants and their seed-eating pollinators. Ecological Modelling, 251, pp. 260-270. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.12.019
Letter
A letter on: The fork and the paperclip: a memetic perspective
Duthie AB (2004) A letter on: The fork and the paperclip: a memetic perspective. Journal of Memetics: Evolutionary Models of Information Transmission, 8 (1). http://cfpm.org/jom-emit/2004/vol8/duthie_ab.html
As an educator, I take a learning-centred approach to guide students through course material, and I evaluate my teaching as successful when I have evidence that students are thinking actively and effectively about biological concepts. I hold the following professional teaching qualifications:
I am the director of the following programmes:
I coordinate the following modules:
I contribute to the following modules:
I am also currently the primary supervisor of one PhD student and secondary supervisor for four PhD students. I currently supervise three MSc students.
During my time at the University of Stirling, I have won Recognising and Advancing Teaching Excellence (RATE) awards in the following categories:
RATE awards are decided and presented by the Stirling Students' Union.